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Velocity loss & fatigue

The cleanest single number for "how much fatigue is in this set", and the autoregulation metric that holds up best with real athletes.

Velocity loss is the percentage drop in mean concentric velocity from the fastest rep of a set to the current rep. Cross a chosen cutoff and the set ends — regardless of how many reps the program said to do.

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 20% V-LOSS · 0.40 M/S R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 MEAN VELOCITY (M/S) REP
Per-rep v-loss across an 8-rep working set. The signal-lime bars sit past the 20% cutoff.

It works because it’s the closest thing we have to a direct read of intra-set fatigue. RPE tries to estimate it after the fact. Reps-in-reserve tries to predict it before. Velocity loss measures it as it happens.

LINKED CHART

Velocity loss across a working set

Why it works better than RPE

  • Objective. No subjective rating, no scale calibration drift between athletes.
  • Real-time. You see the cutoff coming on rep 5 of the set, not in the journal review afterwards.
  • Comparable across sessions. Two sets to the same v-loss target are matched for fatigue regardless of load, reps, or how the athlete felt that day.

Common cutoffs by goal

GoalTypical cutoffWhy
Power / speed5–10%Stop while reps are still fast and fresh
Strength10–20%Productive volume without grinding
Hypertrophy20–30%Mechanical tension over fresh velocity
Capacity / GPP30%+Buffer-burning sets, accept some grinder reps

These are starting points, not laws. Calibrate to your athlete. A powerlifter on a peaking week probably wants 10% even on hypertrophy days; a beginner doing 3×8 squats might safely take 30% v-loss every session.

What it changes about training

Two consequences fall out of using v-loss as the cutoff:

  • Volume self-regulates. A fresh athlete gets more reps to the same cutoff than a fatigued one. The training stress equalises across days that would otherwise look very different in the journal.
  • Overreaching shows up early. When yesterday’s cutoff came after 6 reps and today’s came after 3 at the same load, you have hard evidence that the athlete needs to back off — before performance drops or injury risk climbs.

Looking for the protocol? Picking a cutoff for a specific block, calibrating it across athletes, and integrating it into a program template is its own write-up.

LINKED ARTICLE

Velocity loss guidelines for fatigue with VBT

04 · ARTICLES · VELOCITY LOSS & FATIGUE

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04 · CHARTS · VELOCITY LOSS & FATIGUE

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BAR
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 20% V-LOSS · 0.40 M/S R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 MEAN VELOCITY (M/S) REP

Bar velocity drops across a set

Per-rep velocity loss for a single working set. The cutoff line marks where the set should end.

CHART · BAR open ↗
TABLE
EXERCISE NOVICE ELITE Back squat 0.35 0.20 Barbell row 0.50 0.40 Bench press 0.30 0.15 Deadlift — conventional 0.25 0.12 Deadlift — sumo 0.25 0.10 Deadlift — trapbar 0.45 0.30 Front squat 0.45 0.25 Overhead press 0.35 0.20

Minimum velocity threshold by lift

Minimum velocity threshold values for back squat, front squat, bench, all three deadlifts, barbell row, and overhead press — by training level (novice / elite) and by effort tier (max out / tough / moderate).

CHART · TABLE open ↗
BAR
0 5 10 15 20 25 VL0 VL10 VL20 VL40 SQUAT 1RM GAIN (%) VELOCITY-LOSS GROUP

20% velocity loss maximises strength

Pareja-Blanco 2017 — squat 1RM gains scale with the velocity-loss cap inside each set. Strength response peaks around 20 % v-loss, then drops as fatigue overruns adaptation.

CHART · BAR open ↗
LINE
-50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 Before0 hours6 hours48 hours 3×8 3×4 % CHANGE IN PERFORMANCE TIME-POINT POST WORKOUT GONZALEZ-BADILLO ET AL, 2016

Training to failure slows jump recovery

Gonzalez-Badillo 2016 — jump performance crashed 44 % immediately after a higher-effort squat workout (3×8) and stayed depressed for 48 hours; the lower-effort 3×4 group bounced back inside 6 hours.

CHART · LINE open ↗
BAR
-4 0 4 8 12 16 20 1RM BARVELOCITY JUMP TIIMUSCLE FIBRES 40% velocity loss 20% velocity loss % CHANGE IN PERFORMANCE TEST PAREJA-BLANCO ET AL, 2016

Lower velocity loss, better gains

Pareja-Blanco 2016 — training to 20 % velocity loss out-gained 40 % on 1RM, bar velocity, jump, and type-II muscle fibres, while doing significantly less total volume.

CHART · BAR open ↗
BAR
0 1 2 3 4 5 INTERNALCUES EXTERNALCUES PERFORMANCEFEEDBACK % IMPROVEMENT FEEDBACK TYPE KELLER ET AL, 2014

Feedback beats internal & external cues

Keller 2014 measured two outcomes from the same three-condition study — acute jump output and within-set fatigue. Augmented feedback won both — ~4× more acute improvement than the best verbal cue, plus an inverted within-set fatigue curve.

CHART · BAR open ↗
OTHER
RPE - RATING OF PERCEIVED EXERTION 5.566.577.588.599.510 RIR - REPS IN RESERVE 543210 % VELOCITY LOSS 51015202530354045 LAST REP VELOCITY (M/S) 0.520.490.460.430.40.370.340.310.280.25 EASY (WARM-UP) MAXIMAL (SET TO FAILURE) VELOCITY LOSS %S APPLY TO BARBELL STRENGTH LIFTS, BETWEEN 3–10 REPS LAST REP VELOCITY EXAMPLE VALUES FOR A BACK SQUAT — LOW BAR

RPE conversion chart

All four common effort languages on one chart — RPE 5.5–10, RIR 5–0, velocity loss 5–45 %, last-rep velocity 0.52–0.25 m/s. Drop a finger on any row to read across.

CHART · OTHER open ↗

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